Crusaders vs Larne prediction

Crusaders have lost 3 of their last 5, while Larne are unbeaten in their last 5. Crusaders average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Larne average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Crusaders won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Larne, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Crusaders to score about 1.3 and Larne about 1.5. We expect only around 2.7 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.