Marítimo vs Porto prediction

Marítimo have not won in their last 5, while Porto have won 4 of their last 5. Marítimo average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Porto average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Marítimo to score about 1.0 and Porto about 1.7. We expect only around 2.7 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.