Hammarby vs Djurgården prediction

Hammarby have won 3 of their last 5, while Djurgården have won 4 of their last 5. Hammarby average 2.7 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Djurgården average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Hammarby won 0, drew 2 and lost 0 to Djurgården, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Hammarby to score about 1.5 and Djurgården about 1.2. Djurgården should at least avoid defeat.