Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach prediction

Köln have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Borussia M'gladbach have lost 4 of their last 5. Köln average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Borussia M'gladbach average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Köln won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Borussia M'gladbach, with 5.0 goals a game. Our model expects Köln to score about 2.0 and Borussia M'gladbach about 1.6. Borussia M'gladbach should at least avoid defeat.