Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction

Southampton have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Portsmouth have taken 5 points from their last 5. Southampton average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Portsmouth average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Southampton drew 1-1 against Portsmouth. Our model expects Southampton to score about 1.8 and Portsmouth about 1.2. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.