Vaduz vs Basel prediction

Vaduz have lost 3 of their last 5, while Basel have lost 3 of their last 5. Vaduz average 2.8 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Basel average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Vaduz to score about 1.9 and Basel about 1.6. Basel should at least avoid defeat.