Portugal vs Northern Ireland prediction

Portugal have won 4 of their last 5, while Northern Ireland have lost 3 of their last 5. Portugal average 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Northern Ireland average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Portugal won 4-0 against Northern Ireland. Our model expects Portugal to score about 1.8 and Northern Ireland about 1.1. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.