Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction

Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 5, while Middlesbrough have taken 8 points from their last 5. Stoke City average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Middlesbrough average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Stoke City lost 1-2 against Middlesbrough. Our model expects Stoke City to score about 1.6 and Middlesbrough about 1.3. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.