Cincinnati vs New England prediction

Cincinnati have taken 5 points from their last 5, while New England have won 3 of their last 5. Cincinnati average 2.5 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while New England average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Cincinnati lost 1-6 against New England. Our model expects Cincinnati to score about 2.0 and New England about 1.7. New England should at least avoid defeat.