Toronto vs Orlando City prediction

Toronto have lost 3 of their last 5, while Orlando City have won 3 of their last 5. Toronto average 2.2 scored and 1.9 conceded at home, while Orlando City average 1.8 scored and 3.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Toronto won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Orlando City, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects Toronto to score about 1.9 and Orlando City about 1.6. We expect around 3.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.