Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab prediction

Al Ittihad have won 3 of their last 5, while Al Shabab have taken 5 points from their last 5. Al Ittihad average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Al Shabab average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Ittihad won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Al Shabab, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Al Ittihad to score about 1.7 and Al Shabab about 1.2. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.