Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale prediction

Crewe Alexandra are unbeaten in their last 5, while Rochdale have taken 8 points from their last 5. Crewe Alexandra average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Rochdale average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Crewe Alexandra to score about 1.6 and Rochdale about 1.0. Crewe Alexandra should avoid losing by two goals or more.