Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town prediction

Grimsby Town have not won in their last 5, while Northampton Town have lost 3 of their last 5. Grimsby Town average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Northampton Town average 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Grimsby Town to score about 1.5 and Northampton Town about 0.8. Grimsby Town should avoid losing by two goals or more.