Elgin City vs Edinburgh City prediction

Elgin City have won 4 of their last 5, while Edinburgh City have lost 3 of their last 5. Elgin City average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Edinburgh City average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Elgin City won 3, drew 0 and lost 0 to Edinburgh City, with 3.7 goals a game. Our model expects Elgin City to score about 2.2 and Edinburgh City about 1.3. Elgin City should avoid losing by two goals or more.