Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Espanyol have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5. Espanyol average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Atletico Madrid average 1.6 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Espanyol lost 2-4 against Atletico Madrid. Our model expects Espanyol to score about 1.4 and Atletico Madrid about 1.6. We expect around 2.9 goals in total, so goals look likely.