Villarreal vs Elche prediction

Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5, while Elche have taken 5 points from their last 5. Villarreal average 2.3 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Elche average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Villarreal won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Elche, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Villarreal to score about 1.8 and Elche about 1.3. We expect around 3.1 goals in total, so goals look likely.