New England vs Chicago Fire prediction

New England have won 3 of their last 5, while Chicago Fire have won 3 of their last 5. New England average 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Chicago Fire average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings New England won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Chicago Fire, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects New England to score about 1.7 and Chicago Fire about 1.5. New England should avoid losing by two goals or more.