Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction

Newcastle United have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5. Newcastle United average 1.9 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Aston Villa average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Newcastle United won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Aston Villa, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Newcastle United to score about 1.7 and Aston Villa about 1.6. Newcastle United should find the net, with about 1.7 goals expected from them.