Viking vs Fredrikstad prediction

Viking have won 3 of their last 5, while Fredrikstad have taken 6 points from their last 5. Viking average 3.8 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Fredrikstad average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Viking won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Fredrikstad, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Viking to score about 2.0 and Fredrikstad about 0.9. Viking should avoid losing by two goals or more.