Angers SCO vs Marseille prediction

Angers SCO have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Marseille have lost 4 of their last 5. Angers SCO average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Marseille average 1.9 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Angers SCO won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Marseille, with 5.5 goals a game. Our model expects Angers SCO to score about 1.5 and Marseille about 1.4. Marseille should avoid losing by two goals or more.