Lorient vs Monaco prediction

Lorient have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Monaco are unbeaten in their last 5. Lorient average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Monaco average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Lorient won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Monaco, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Lorient to score about 1.4 and Monaco about 1.4. Lorient should find the net, with about 1.4 goals expected from them.