Borussia M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim prediction

Borussia M'gladbach have not won in their last 5, while Hoffenheim have lost 4 of their last 5. Borussia M'gladbach average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Hoffenheim average 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Borussia M'gladbach won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Hoffenheim, with 5.0 goals a game. Our model expects Borussia M'gladbach to score about 2.1 and Hoffenheim about 1.7. We expect around 3.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.