NEC vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

NEC have not won in their last 5, while Fortuna Sittard have won 3 of their last 5. NEC average 2.1 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Fortuna Sittard average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, NEC lost 2-3 against Fortuna Sittard. Our model expects NEC to score about 1.6 and Fortuna Sittard about 1.6. Fortuna Sittard should avoid losing by two goals or more.