Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction

Nottingham Forest have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. Nottingham Forest average 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Arsenal average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. When they last met, Nottingham Forest drew 0-0 against Arsenal. Our model expects Nottingham Forest to score about 1.1 and Arsenal about 1.3. Nottingham Forest should avoid losing by two goals or more.