Rivers United vs Barau prediction

Rivers United are unbeaten in their last 5, while Barau have taken 6 points from their last 5. Rivers United average 1.9 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, while Barau average 0.2 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Rivers United won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Barau, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Rivers United to score about 1.6 and Barau about 0.6. Rivers United should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.