Sirius vs Elfsborg prediction

Sirius have won 4 of their last 5, while Elfsborg have won 4 of their last 5. Sirius average 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Elfsborg average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sirius won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Elfsborg, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Sirius to score about 1.5 and Elfsborg about 1.3. Elfsborg should avoid losing by two goals or more.