Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej prediction

Al Ahli have won 3 of their last 5, while Al Khaleej are unbeaten in their last 5. Al Ahli average 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Al Khaleej average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Ahli won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Al Khaleej, with 5.0 goals a game. Our model expects Al Ahli to score about 2.1 and Al Khaleej about 1.0. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.