Holywell vs Penybont prediction

Holywell have not won in their last 5, while Penybont have won 4 of their last 5. Holywell average 1.1 scored and 3.4 conceded at home, while Penybont average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Holywell to score about 1.2 and Penybont about 2.3. Penybont should at least avoid defeat.