Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South prediction

Alloa Athletic have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Queen of the South have won 3 of their last 5. Alloa Athletic average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Queen of the South average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Alloa Athletic won 2, drew 0 and lost 1 to Queen of the South, with 3.3 goals a game. Our model expects Alloa Athletic to score about 1.8 and Queen of the South about 1.2. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.