Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Chelsea have won 3 of their last 5, while Tottenham Hotspur have taken 5 points from their last 5. Chelsea average 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Tottenham Hotspur average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Chelsea won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Tottenham Hotspur, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Chelsea to score about 2.1 and Tottenham Hotspur about 1.2. Chelsea should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.