Columbus Crew vs Toronto prediction

Columbus Crew have won 4 of their last 5, while Toronto have taken 7 points from their last 5. Columbus Crew average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Toronto average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Columbus Crew won 0, drew 2 and lost 1 to Toronto, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Columbus Crew to score about 1.8 and Toronto about 1.3. We expect only around 3.2 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.