Epitsentr vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction

Epitsentr have not won in their last 5, while Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have won 4 of their last 5. Epitsentr average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Metalist 1925 Kharkiv average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Epitsentr won 0, drew 2 and lost 0 to Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, with 1.0 goals a game. Our model expects Epitsentr to score about 1.2 and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv about 1.3. Epitsentr should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.