Köln vs Schalke 04 prediction

Köln have lost 3 of their last 5, while Schalke 04 have taken 5 points from their last 5. Köln average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Schalke 04 average 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Köln to score about 1.4 and Schalke 04 about 1.2. Köln should avoid losing by two goals or more.