Merthyr Town vs Morecambe prediction

Merthyr Town have not won in their last 5, while Morecambe have taken 7 points from their last 5. Merthyr Town average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Morecambe average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. Our model expects Merthyr Town to score about 1.3 and Morecambe about 1.1. We expect around 2.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.