Barau vs Kwara United prediction

Barau have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Kwara United have taken 7 points from their last 5. Barau average 1.9 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Kwara United average 0.5 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Barau won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Kwara United, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Barau to score about 1.5 and Kwara United about 0.8. Barau should be hard to beat here.