Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction

Barcelona have won 4 of their last 5, while Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5. Barcelona average 3.5 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Real Madrid average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Barcelona won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Real Madrid, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Barcelona to score about 2.5 and Real Madrid about 1.5. Real Madrid should find the net, with about 1.5 goals expected from them.