Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Liverpool have won 4 of their last 5, while Brighton & Hove Albion are unbeaten in their last 5. Liverpool average 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Brighton & Hove Albion average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Liverpool won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Brighton & Hove Albion, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Liverpool to score about 1.4 and Brighton & Hove Albion about 1.7. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.