Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction

Sunderland have lost 3 of their last 5, while Leeds United have taken 5 points from their last 5. Sunderland average 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Leeds United average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Sunderland won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Leeds United, with 1.3 goals a game. Our model expects Sunderland to score about 1.2 and Leeds United about 1.2. Sunderland should avoid losing by two goals or more.