AIK vs Elfsborg prediction

AIK have not won in their last 5, while Elfsborg are unbeaten in their last 5. AIK average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded at home, while Elfsborg average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings AIK won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Elfsborg, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects AIK to score about 1.3 and Elfsborg about 1.7. Elfsborg should find the net, with about 1.7 goals expected from them.