Oxford City vs Merthyr Town prediction

Oxford City are unbeaten in their last 5, while Merthyr Town have not won in their last 5. Oxford City average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Merthyr Town average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Oxford City won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Merthyr Town, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Oxford City to score about 1.6 and Merthyr Town about 1.0. Oxford City should be hard to beat here.