Radcliffe vs Chorley prediction

Radcliffe have lost 3 of their last 5, while Chorley have won 3 of their last 5. Radcliffe average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Chorley average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Radcliffe won 1-0 against Chorley. Our model expects Radcliffe to score about 1.6 and Chorley about 1.3. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.