ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua prediction

ADT have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Deportivo Moquegua have lost 4 of their last 5. ADT average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Deportivo Moquegua average 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, ADT drew 2-2 against Deportivo Moquegua. Our model expects ADT to score about 1.3 and Deportivo Moquegua about 1.0. Deportivo Moquegua should avoid losing by two goals or more.