Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction

Aberdeen have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Falkirk have won 3 of their last 5. Aberdeen average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Falkirk average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Aberdeen won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Falkirk, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Aberdeen to score about 1.4 and Falkirk about 1.2. Aberdeen should avoid losing by two goals or more.