Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction

Dundee have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Kilmarnock have taken 7 points from their last 5. Dundee average 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Kilmarnock average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Dundee won 2, drew 1 and lost 1 to Kilmarnock, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Dundee to score about 1.8 and Kilmarnock about 1.2. Dundee should avoid losing by two goals or more.