Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction

Liverpool have won 4 of their last 5, while Chelsea have won 3 of their last 5. Liverpool average 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Chelsea average 2.0 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. When they last met, Liverpool drew 1-1 against Chelsea. Our model expects Liverpool to score about 1.9 and Chelsea about 1.7. Chelsea should avoid losing by two goals or more.