Sunderland vs Brentford prediction

Sunderland have lost 3 of their last 5, while Brentford have taken 8 points from their last 5. Sunderland average 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Brentford average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sunderland won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Brentford, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Sunderland to score about 1.3 and Brentford about 1.5. Sunderland should avoid losing by two goals or more.