Chicago Fire vs Orlando City prediction

Chicago Fire have won 3 of their last 5, while Orlando City have taken 8 points from their last 5. Chicago Fire average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Orlando City average 1.9 scored and 3.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Chicago Fire won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Orlando City, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Chicago Fire to score about 2.1 and Orlando City about 1.6. Chicago Fire should avoid losing by two goals or more.