AC Milan vs Inter Milan prediction

AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5, while Inter Milan have won 4 of their last 5. AC Milan average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Inter Milan average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings AC Milan won 2, drew 1 and lost 0 to Inter Milan, with 1.3 goals a game. Our model expects AC Milan to score about 1.6 and Inter Milan about 1.5. Inter Milan should avoid losing by two goals or more.