Ballymena United vs Bangor prediction

Ballymena United have won 4 of their last 5, while Bangor have not won in their last 5. Ballymena United average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Bangor average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Ballymena United won 0, drew 2 and lost 1 to Bangor, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Ballymena United to score about 1.8 and Bangor about 1.1. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.