Cardiff Met vs Penybont prediction

Cardiff Met have won 3 of their last 5, while Penybont have won 4 of their last 5. Cardiff Met average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Penybont average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Cardiff Met won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Penybont, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Cardiff Met to score about 1.3 and Penybont about 1.4. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.